Chinese President Xi Jinping spoke on the phone with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Wednesday. In the first telephonic conversation since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Beijing tried to step up efforts to position itself as a potential peacemaker in the peace struggle. In such a situation, the question is whether China will really be able to make a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia like Iran and Saudi-Arabia? Will the US and the West allow the Ukraine war to stop on China’s offer? Even though this war is taking place between Russia and Ukraine, but there are many countries which are indirectly involved in it, such as America, Western countries and NATO etc., which are giving arms to Ukraine. He has made a paragraph point program. In this, more focus has been given on two things. The first is the sovereignty of the country and the second is that many restrictions have been imposed on Russia.
As far as the ceasefire is concerned, China had earlier also given 12 point peace program which is failing. America says for a ceasefire that when Russia leaves its troops and the territories occupied by it inside Ukraine, then the sanctions on Russia can also be removed and then there will be a possibility of talks. They want that there should be a durable piece first and then there will be talks. As far as moving forward on peace talks and peace proposal from China side, I think it is not an easy task. There are many complications in this. Since the manner in which China had initiated the peace talks between Iran and Saudi Arabia, several rounds of talks had already taken place secretly. Security level talks were going on inside China and there both sides had already resolved their issues to a great extent. But it is very difficult to hold peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, which China is trying to do.
Russia has 30% Ukrainian land
Since there are many reasons behind this. The first major reason for this is that Russia has 30% of Ukrainian land. Apart from this, a large number of people of Russian origin live in these occupied areas. The second big reason is Lohans Donetsk and Sab-e-Donsk, which are surrounded by the sea from all sides. Apart from this, there are many areas where 60% coal is found, 30% oil, 20% natural gas and 10% lithium and other rare earth metals. Europe’s largest nuclear power plant is also there. There are resources worth about 12 trillion dollars. I do not think that Russia will agree to withdraw from the war so easily.
Because he has gone too far in this. There is one more thing that Ukrainian Army is no match with Russia. Even though Ukraine is getting good weapons to fight the war, it will never be able to match Russia. If Ukraine wants its own good now, it can say that we are giving away such a huge territory and Russia has also made a huge occupation over the Black Sea. Because of which Ukraine is facing a lot of difficulty in selling its wheat, Ukraine also has a lot of fertilizer, which has to take permission from Russia to sell it all over the world. Ukraine had to make a treaty with Russia to do business with the Black Sea. Russia used to threaten him that we are not getting any benefit from it. This is the biggest problem.
Europe-America want the war to go on
On the one hand, Europe and America want the war to continue. Their objective is different because they have put a lot of sanctions on Russia and it doesn’t make any difference to them. They are also increasing the supply of arms to Ukraine. First artillery was given, then tanks were given and now many types of sophisticated weapons are being given. America is also giving training to Ukrainians to run it. However, due to this war, the global economy has also become very unstable. Since the prices of oil are increasing very much and there is also a situation of economic recession inside Europe-America. Apart from this, there is public pressure in Europe and America that the war should be ended. Now it will also be a matter to be seen that there are elections in America next year and what decision will be taken in such a situation will also matter a lot. But now the agenda with which Biden has come forward is that he wants to complete the work which has remained incomplete. On the one hand, the development of infrastructure inside America and on the other hand, they are talking about bringing the ongoing war to a decision. But now this will be known only in the coming time. But the effort Russia is making now. The main thing in that is that China has a lot of hold over Russia. Russia is also dependent on China ever since this war started. But China has no support base in Western Europe and it is very important to have the consent of Western countries for any kind of peace talks.
Nationalism has increased a lot in Russia and it has been there since the beginning. Putin also has the support of the people there. On the other hand, the traditional church of Russia also has huge support for Putin. That’s why there is no danger for Putin there. Yes, it has definitely happened that due to the restrictions imposed on it, its economy has been affected to a great extent. America and Western countries had imposed sanctions on him thinking that this would destroy his economy, people would incite against the Putin government and he would be removed from power. The war will end in two to three months. But all this did not happen.
Since Russia has a lot of resources and its values are present in the world. Since the world economy is in the grip of economic crisis and Russia is selling oil and other things to many countries at very cheap prices. In such a situation, everyone wants to buy from Russia. There are some countries which have their own oil reserves, but they take it from Russia at a cheap price and refine it and sell it in Europe. It is very difficult in such a situation and America and Europe are adamant that they will not let this war end. They want Russia to be defeated in this but it has to be seen what happens next.
I do not think that Russia will lose in this war. Since he is still using his old Soviet era weapons. He is using Iran’s cheap Shahid drone. So he is fighting a cheap war. In between, when the pressure increases, then he uses a sophisticated Vipen. It will also be interesting to see what is the capacity of Europe and America and how long the war lasts. How long do they stand with Ukraine? As far as Zelensky is concerned, he wants us to get NATO membership somehow. So that this war reaches some conclusion. But this does not seem to be happening and it seems to be very long drawn. There is also one thing that in today’s time you can start a war but you do not have the option to end it. Since the ambitions of many countries are then added to it. Since the arms making industries of western countries, they get a lot of benefit from it. That’s why they try to keep the war going on somewhere in the world all the time and they are benefiting a lot in Ukraine.
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